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Economic Evaluation and Market Analysis for Natural Gas Utilization - Topical Report - 1995

Hackworth, John H.
Koch, Robert W.
Rezaiyan, A. John

Table of Contents 195kb

Section 1
1186kb

Executive Summary

E-1

1

Introduction

1-1

2

U.S. Natural Gas Supply and Market Analysis

2-1

2.1

Supply

2-1

2.2

Demand

2-3

2.3

Gas Markets of the 1980s and Search for New Markets

2-3

2.4

Gas Supply and Demand Issues--Low Quality Gas

2-7

2.5

Gas Supply and Demand Issues--Use of Remote Gas

2-8

2.6

Price Outlook

2-10

2.7

Summary

2-11
Section 2
1383kb

3

Transportation Fuels Market

3-1

3.1

Pressure for Market Change

3-1

3.2

Market Segments

3-4

3.3

Use of Gas and Gas-Derived Products

3-8

3.4

Fuel Physical Properties

3-9

3.5

Fuel Distribution

3-15

3.6

Vehicle/Engine Systems

3-18

3.7

Market Penetration

3-21
Section 3
949kb

4

Natural Gas Market Analysis--Use as a Chemical Feedstock

4-1

4.1

Ammonia

4-1

4.2

Methanol

4-3

4.3

Ethylene

4-6

5

Natural Gas Market Analysis--Use in Power Generation

5-1

Process Routes from Natural Gas to Transportation Fuels, Chemical Feedstocks, and Utility Fuel

6-1

7

Gas Use in Transportation Fuels--Economic Analysis

7-1

7.1

Price Forecast--Transportation Fuels and Components

7-1

7.2

Economic Evaluation--Analysis Methodology

7-4
Section 4
1922kb

8

Gas Use in Transportation Fuels--Economic Analysis

8-1

8.1

Natural Gas to Methanol by the Liquid-phase Methanol Process

8-2

8.2

Natural Gas to Liquid Products via Fischer-Tropsch

8-9

8.3

Gasoline by Oxidative Coupling of Methane and Oligomerization

8-16

8.4

Natural Gas to Higher Alcohols by the IFP Process

8-22

8.5

Natural Gas and Butane to MTBE

8-27

8.6

Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) for Transportation Fuel

8-35

8.7

Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) for Transportation Fuel

8-36
Section 5
1319kb

9

Gas Use in Chemicals and Power Production--Economic Analysis

9-1

9.1

Natural Gas to Methanol by the Liquid--Phase Methanol Process

9-3

9.2

Natural Gas to Ammonia

9-6

9.3

Natural Gas for Power Production Using a Combined Cycle

9-11

9.4

Upgrading of Low Quality Gas by Nitrogen Rejection

9-14

9.5

Economics of Conversion of Natural Gas to Ethylene

9-17

9.6

Economics of Conversion of Natural Gas to Methyl Chloride

9-19

10

Sensitivity Analysis of Economics in Converting Natural Gas to Fischer-Tropsch Liquids

10-1

10.1

Effect of Using Slurry Reactor

10-1

10.2

Effect of Gas Price Growth Rate

10-2

10.3

Effect of Plant Size

10-2

10.4 

Effect of Barge-Mounted Plants and Alaskan North-Slope Location

10-3

10.5

Effect of Using Ceramic Membranes for Oxygen Production

10-5

10.6

Effect of Changing Natural Gas Price

10-6

10.7

Summary

10-7
Section 6
1163kb

11

Comparative Economics and Potential for Increased Gas Use

11-1

11.1

Comparative Economics Transportation Fuels

11-1

11.2

Comparative Economics Chemicals and Power Production

11-3

11.3

Potential for Increased Gas Use

11-5

11.4

Estimated Employment Generation of a Gas-to-Liquids Industry

11-6

11.5

Potential Improvements and Cost Reductions for New Gas to Liquids Projects

11-6
References R-1
Appendix A.  Methodology for Calculating the Required Price of Gas-Derived Products 558kb A-1